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Canada Energy Policy Simulator

The Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) is a free and open-source computer model originally created by Energy Innovation LLC and adapted for Canada in partnership with the Pembina Institute.

Model Download

The Canada Energy Policy Simulator may be used on this website through your web browser, or the full version may be downloaded to your computer by clicking the button below. Note that you will need to go through the steps explained on the EPS download page in order to install the required software and make use of the full version of the model.

Download the Energy Policy Simulator, Canada Version

Reference Scenarios

Two reference scenarios are included with the simulator. The "PCF" scenario strictly models policies that are committed to as part of the Pan-Canadian Framework, with no assumed improvement beyond that already announced. For example, the "Carbon Tax" policy increases from $20/tonne in 2019 to $50/tonne in 2022, then holds constant at $50/tonne thereafter.

The "PCF Extended to Mid-Century" scenario increases the ambition of the PCF scenario by assuming that PCF policies do not stagnate when their announced end dates are reached, but rather, they strengthen at a constant rate through 2050 (or until the policy reaches its maximum possible setting, whichever comes first). For example, the "Carbon Tax" policy increases at the same rate of $10/tonne per year from $20/tonne in 2019 to $330/tonne in 2050.

For a more detailed explanation of these scenarios, and answers to other common questions, please visit our FAQ page.

Acknowledgement of Contributors and Reviewers

We would like to acknowledge the following people who helped adapt the Energy Policy Simulator for Canada. Individuals are listed alphabetically.

  • Benjamin Israël, Pembina Institute
  • Bora Plumptre, Pembina Institute
  • Brianne Riehl, Pembina Institute
  • Isabelle Turcotte, Pembina Institute
  • Jeffrey Rissman, Energy Innovation LLC
  • Robbie Orvis, Energy Innovation LLC

Software License

The Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) is released under the GNU General Public License version 3 (GPLv3) or any later version and is free and open-source software. Refer to the Software License page for full details.

Image Credits

Ottawa Parliament at Night
Doug Tanner
License: Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 2.0 Generic (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)
Changes: Image has been cropped and a fade has been applied to the left side.